Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.468416 0.540381 0.618740 0.710266 0.814106 0.928120 1.062649
2025-08-24 0.341320 0.438180 0.554114 0.702493 0.886680 1.107082 1.390022
2025-08-31 0.263200 0.366174 0.498442 0.679502 0.919422 1.224758 1.640830
2025-09-07 0.231364 0.343400 0.495661 0.715491 1.022068 1.431326 2.015184
2025-09-14 0.191086 0.300991 0.458260 0.696537 1.044454 1.529079 2.249066
2025-09-21 0.160037 0.266218 0.425476 0.677538 1.061081 1.615982 2.470533
2025-09-28 0.136281 0.238505 0.398649 0.662496 1.079371 1.703593 2.696535
2025-10-05 0.123388 0.225998 0.393120 0.678443 1.144453 1.863586 3.040249
2025-10-12 0.115769 0.221042 0.398666 0.711836 1.238803 2.074192 3.475838
2025-10-19 0.106335 0.211473 0.395093 0.729113 1.307576 2.248639 3.866007
2025-10-26 0.096553 0.199835 0.386385 0.736179 1.359027 2.397797 4.224630
2025-11-02 0.086811 0.186866 0.373645 0.734375 1.394247 2.521500 4.548306
2025-11-09 0.076988 0.172610 0.357299 0.724999 1.416420 2.626795 4.852460
2025-11-16 0.068464 0.159818 0.342289 0.716567 1.439555 2.735609 5.171187
2025-11-23 0.059474 0.144680 0.320794 0.693115 1.432105 2.788810 5.394396
2025-11-30 0.057449 0.144477 0.329360 0.729762 1.541814 3.061061 6.029290
2025-12-07 0.050554 0.132213 0.311369 0.710460 1.540423 3.127526 6.290398
2025-12-14 0.044521 0.121032 0.294306 0.691111 1.536778 3.188667 6.544469
2025-12-21 0.039525 0.111591 0.279905 0.675792 1.539635 3.261794 6.825168
2025-12-28 0.037254 0.108661 0.279915 0.692033 1.609540 3.470633 7.381789
2026-01-04 0.036288 0.108990 0.287531 0.726040 1.719894 3.767025 8.128657
2026-01-11 0.034360 0.106458 0.288016 0.743633 1.795827 3.998261 8.758672
2026-01-18 0.032002 0.102384 0.284255 0.750828 1.849168 4.186129 9.311503